Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.009391e-01 0.400998 0.517176 0.660055 0.829040 1.020596 1.252161
2026-01-25 1.739084e-01 0.293562 0.454461 0.677420 0.969066 1.328618 1.796006
2026-02-01 9.190028e-02 0.204496 0.382008 0.658303 1.053776 1.576692 2.296489
2026-02-08 5.465002e-02 0.161104 0.355911 0.690469 1.204436 1.920294 2.946595
2026-02-15 2.918281e-02 0.120952 0.318898 0.694024 1.309809 2.208295 3.542515
2026-02-22 1.807179e-02 0.103198 0.314366 0.746402 1.491012 2.613782 4.321892
2026-03-01 1.003149e-02 0.084679 0.300417 0.777243 1.638430 2.977368 5.059775
2026-03-08 4.634696e-03 0.065872 0.277049 0.783718 1.743217 3.280572 5.722882
2026-03-15 1.597865e-03 0.048408 0.247529 0.769772 1.808331 3.523232 6.304957
2026-03-22 5.167444e-04 0.038351 0.233166 0.783641 1.921932 3.846017 7.017107
2026-03-29 8.969850e-05 0.029231 0.215688 0.785688 2.011888 4.133077 7.683597
2026-04-05 8.030888e-07 0.020266 0.190994 0.763691 2.051820 4.337514 8.228053
2026-04-12 NaN 0.013688 0.169735 0.745891 2.099904 4.561802 8.819090
2026-04-19 NaN 0.009912 0.158027 0.750944 2.194531 4.870238 9.554542
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005927 0.137271 0.723439 2.217055 5.053204 10.094733
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004702 0.135520 0.754167 2.367807 5.469368 11.024730
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003099 0.125783 0.756071 2.454233 5.772945 11.778705
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002806 0.131013 0.810693 2.664042 6.308116 12.927353
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002189 0.130002 0.842856 2.824086 6.757089 13.943115
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001407 0.122553 0.849438 2.924585 7.099194 14.788543
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000713 0.110514 0.834527 2.972113 7.343443 15.475020
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000432 0.106141 0.849141 3.091888 7.727358 16.405277
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000210 0.099340 0.851272 3.180380 8.053784 17.243750